Sudan Last Updated: March 2006 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Background | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A newly signed peace agreement and increased hydrocarbon exports have helped stabilize Sudan’s economy. |
Sudan, the largest country on the African continent, gained its
independence from Egypt and the United Kingdom in 1956. A cultural and
religious division has existed for many years between the northern,
Islamic states and the predominantly Christian states in the south. The
northern Sudanese primarily live in large urban centers, while those in
the south primarily subsist on a rural economy. Sudan has considerable
hydrocarbon resources and a large agricultural sector, though the country
is considered one of the poorest in the world.
Stable prices resulting from International Monetary Fund
(IMF)-approved macroeconomic policies have led to a slowdown in Sudan’s
currency depreciation and an improved fiscal balance. In 2005, Sudan’s
real gross domestic product (GDP) grew 6.4 percent and is expected to grow
5.7 percent in 2006. Sudan’s oil exports have increased sharply since the
completion of a major oil-export pipeline in 1999. Currently, 70 percent
of Sudan’s total export revenues come from oil exports. Despite high oil
revenues, the country ran a current account deficit of $907 million in
2005. In an effort to bolster its trade potential, Sudan applied for World
Trade Organization (WTO) membership, with the conclusion of negotiations
expected in 2008. As early as June 2006, Sudan is expected to convert its
managed-float Sudanese dinar currency into free-floating Sudanese pounds.
The cost of converting over to the new currency is estimated at $100
million.
In December 2004, a peace declaration was signed between the Sudanese
government and the Sudan People’s Liberation Army (SPLA) in the south.
Prior to the signing, several important issues were agreed upon by the two
parties, which included the sharing of oil revenues (50:50), the
application of Islamic religious law (will not be applied in the South),
and self-determination for the southern Sudan (a referendum on secession
will be held after a six-year transitional period). In January 2005, the
two parties formally signed the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA). Also
in January 2005, the SPLA leader requested that the United Nations (U.N.)
Security Council would deploy peacekeepers to monitor the tenuous peace in
Sudan.
Additional growth in Sudan’s hydrocarbon and other industrial sectors
will likely occur with a refurbished infrastructure, which has seen little
improvement since the beginning of the country’s civil conflicts in 1955.
The Sudanese government has budgeted future revenues for infrastructure
refurbishments and a multi-donor trust fund (MDTF) – administered by the
World Bank – was created to support development projects. Investments from
the MDTF will be divided between the Government of Southern Sudan (GOSS)
and the national government in Khartoum. In November 2005, the MDTF gave
the first disbursement of $20 million to the GOSS for the rebuilding of
health and education services.
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Oil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sudan is working to become a significant world oil producer. |
According to the Oil and Gas Journal
(OGJ), Sudan contained
proven conventional reserves of 563 million barrels as of January 2006.
This is more than twice the proven 262 million barrels estimated in 2001.
The Sudanese Energy Ministry estimates total oil reserves at five billion
barrels. Due to civil conflict, oil exploration has been mostly limited to
the central and south-central regions of the country. It is estimated that
vast potential reserves are held in northwest Sudan, the Blue Nile Basin,
and the Red Sea area in eastern Sudan.
Oil production has risen steadily since the July 1999 completion of
an export pipeline that runs from central Sudan to the Port of Bashair. In
2005, crude oil production averaged 363,000 barrels per day (bbl/d), up
from 343,000 bbl/d during 2004. The Sudanese government has set a
production target of 600,000 bbl/d by the end of 2006. This target will
likely be achieved if new projects come online and proposed output
increases are realized. In 2005, Sudanese oil consumption averaged 82,000
bbl/d. This was a 15 percent increase over the 70,000 bbl/d consumed
during 2004.
The Sudan National Petroleum Corporation (Sudapet) is active in
Sudan’s oil exploration and production. However, due to its limited
technical and financial resources, the company takes a minor role in large
upstream development projects. Sudapet also develops joint ventures with
foreign companies in downstream projects. Foreign companies involved in
Sudan’s oil sector are primarily from Asia. They are led by the China
National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), India’s Oil and Natural Gas
Corporation (ONGC) and Malaysia’s Petronas.
A new National Petroleum Commission is being formed in Sudan. The
function of the commission will be to allocate new oil contracts, and to
ensure an equal sharing of oil revenues between Khartoum and the Southern
Sudan or GOSS. President Bashir will co-chair the commission with
Vice-President Salva Kiir, who also heads the GOSS.
Exploration and
ProductionExploration and development of Sudan’s oil resources has been highly
controversial. International human rights organizations have accused the
Sudanese government of financing human rights abuses with oil revenues,
including the mass displacement of civilians near the oil fields.
Factional fighting in the South and rebel attacks on oil infrastructure
have kept oil production and exploration from reaching full potential to
date. In October 2004, for example, the Sudanese government prevented a
militia attempt to sabotage the country's main oil export pipeline.
However, the recent peace agreement between the government and the SPLA
will likely lead to substantial investment in both production facilities
and new exploration initiatives in the country. In January 2005, after the
official signing of the CPA, Total, Marathon Oil Corporation, and the
Kuwait Foreign Petroleum Company renewed their exploration rights in
southern Sudan.
Greater Nile Oil
ProjectIn 1996, Canadian independent Arakis Energy (Arakis) began
development of the Heglig and Unity fields (Blocks 1, 2, and 4), estimated
to contain recoverable reserves of 600 million to 1.2 billion barrels.
Because the fields were not located near the Red Sea coast, Arakis entered
into a consortium with the Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Company
(GNPOC) to raise investment for a 994-mile pipeline from the fields to the
Suakim oil terminal near Port Sudan. In September 1999, the first cargo of
"Nile Blend" crude departed the export terminal. Although the pipeline was
originally built to move 150,000 bbl/d, its current capacity is 450,000
bbl/d. Production from GNPOC’s 10 fields is estimated at a combined
average of 285,000 bbl/d. Currently GNPOC is looking to develop additional
fields in Block 4. In 2002, Canada’s Talisman Energy sold its 25 percent
interest in GNPOC to India’s ONGC in response to concerns over human
rights abuses. Currently, GNPOC is operated by CNPC (40 percent), with
partners Petronas (30 percent), ONGC (25 percent) and Sudapet (5 percent).
Blocks 3 and 7In June 2004, Petrodar, a consortium of CNPC (41 percent), Petronas
(40 percent), Sudapet (8 percent), Gulf Oil Petroleum (6 percent), and the
Al-Thani Corporation (5 percent) awarded a $239 million contract to
Malaysia’s Ranhill International and Sudan’s Petroneeds Services
International for development work on Blocks 3 and 7. The blocks contain
the Adar Yeil and Tale fields, with estimated recoverable reserves of 460
million barrels and an expected output of 120,000 bbl/d. Capacity is
expected to increase to 300,000 bbl/d by late 2006. A pipeline linking the
two fields to Port Sudan came online in November 2005. The project also
includes a 300,000 bbl/d central processing facility at Al-Jabalayan and
production facilities at Palogue.
Block 5A In April 2005, the Sudanese government signed an agreement with the
White Nile Petroleum Company for the development of the Thar Jath and Mala
fields on Block 5A. The company has plans to drill 45 wells, which are due
to come online in March 2006. Initial production capacity on the block is
estimated at 80,000 bbl/d, which will flow through a 110 mile pipeline to
Port Sudan. Total cost of the project is estimated at $400 million. White
Nile Petroleum Company is a consortium of companies, which include
Petronas (68 percent), ONGC (24 percent) and Sudapet (7 percent).
Block 6In November 2004, CNPC's Fula field on Block 6 came online at a rate
of 10,000 bbl/d. Currently, output on the block is at 40,000 bbl/d, but is
expected to eventually reach 80,000 bbl/d. CNPC has constructed a pipeline
that links the Fula field to the Khartoum refinery.
Refining and DownstreamAccording to OGJ, Sudan’s
three refineries had total refining capacity of 121,700 bbl/d in 2005. The
two largest refineries, El Gily and Khartoum, both had capacities of
50,000 bbl/d. The Sudanese government has plans to increase capacity at
the Khartoum refinery to 100,000 bbl/d. In July 2004, CNPC completed the
first-stage expansion of the Khartoum refinery. The second-stage expansion
of the refinery is currently underway, but a completion date has yet to be
announced.
The Port Sudan facility, located near the Red Sea, is Sudan's
smallest refinery, with a capacity of 21,700 bbl/d. In September 2005, a
contract was awarded to Petronas to build a new refinery at Port Sudan.
The refinery will be designed to process the “Dar Blend” (crude with
high-acid content) found in Sudan’s Melut basin, and it will have a
capacity of 100,000 bbl/d. The refinery is expected to be operational in
2009. Petronas is joined by the Sudanese Ministry of Energy and Mining,
with both entities holding 50 percent shares in the project.
In October 2004, Malaysian Peremba began construction of a $232
million marine export terminal for the Melut Basin Oil Development
Project. The terminal will have a capacity of 2 million bbl/d. Malaysia's
Nam Fatt and Italy's Bentinin have been contracted to build six pumping
facilities in the basin by April 2006. Construction on an 870-mile
pipeline linking the Melut Basin to the export terminal near Port Sudan
was divided into four parts, with separate consortias to undertake each of
the segments. In July 2004, a consortium led by MMC Corporation was
contracted to build a 304-mile portion, and in August 2004, Russian
Stroitransgas began construction on a 227-mile section. The terminal is
expected to begin exporting oil by August 2006.
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Electricity | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sudan aims to increase its electricity generation capacity over the next few years. |
Sudan’s electricity sector is plagued by poor infrastructure and
frequent outages. In 2003, Sudan had 760 megawatts (MW) of electricity
generation capacity, and total electricity generation of 3.2 billion
kilowatthours (Bkwh). The country's main generating facility is the 280-MW
Roseires dam located on the Blue Nile river basin, approximately 315 miles
southeast of Khartoum. The facility has frequently been attacked by rebel
groups, and low water levels often cause its capacity to fall to 100 MW.
Electricity is transmitted through two interconnected electrical
grids, the Blue Nile Grid and the Western grid, which cover only a small
portion of the country. Regions not covered by the grid rely on small
diesel-fired generators for power, although blackouts and brownouts are
common. Only 30 percent of the population currently has access to
electricity, although the government hopes to increase that figure to 90
percent in coming years. In June 2004, Sudanese Electricity Minister Ali
Tamim Fartak said that Sudan has secured more than $2 billion of the
estimated $3 billion necessary to meet that goal.
Several projects are underway to increase Sudanese generating
capacity. The largest projects include the proposed 1,250-MW Merowe and
300-MW Kajbar hydroelectric facilities in northern Sudan. France's Alstom,
China's Harbin Power and several Arab investors have contributed funding
to construct the Merowe facility, which is scheduled for completion in
July 2008. China is financing 75 percent of the $200 million Kajbar dam
construction, with Sudan providing the remaining 25 percent. Environmental
groups have expressed concern about the Kajbar project, citing potential
damage to the Nile ecosystem and the culture of displaced Nubian residents
of the area.
In addition to the Merowe and Kajbar facilities, Sudan inaugurated
two electric power stations in June 2004. The stations are estimated to
have a combined capacity of 330 MW. In November 2004, Sudan's first
independent power production (IPP) project (257 MW) came online. The
diesel plant, located near Khartoum, sells output to the state-owned Sudan
Electricity Corporation (SEC). Several additional power stations with a
total capacity of 700 MW are scheduled for completion before 2008.
Foreign investment in the Sudanese power sector is expected to
increase with the cessation of the civil war. In June 2004, for example,
the United Arab Emirates (UAE) pledged to invest in the Sudanese power
sector following the signing of a peace accord. In January 2006, the
Export/Import Bank of India extended $350 million of credit to Sudan. The
money will be used for constructing a 500-MW power plant, which will be
built by India’s Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd.
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General Information BBC Country Profile: Sudan Human Rights Watch: "Sudan, Oil and Human Rights" Africa News Service: Sudan Washington Post World Reference: Sudan Arab Net: Sudan Sudan.Net Darfur Information Center Latest News from Sudan at Sudan.net University of Pennsylvania African Studies: Sudan Foreign Government Agencies Embassy of the Republic of Sudan Non-Governmental Organizations Merowe Dam Project Electricity National Electricity Corporation Oil and Natural Gas China National Petroleum Company (CNPC) Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) Petronas | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sources | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Africa Intelligence Africa Oil and Gas Agence France Presse CIA World Factbook 2004 CountryWatch.com Economist Intelligence Unit ViewsWire Factiva Global Insight International Oil Daily International Market Insight Reports International Monetary Fund MBendi Middle East Economic Survey (MEES) Panafrican News Agency Petroleum Economist Petroleum Intelligence Weekly Reuters News Service Suna News Agency U.S. Energy Information Administration World Bank World Markets Research Centre | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||